In a world of opinions, hunches, and “the system flagged it” — we believe every decision about a trader’s account should be a calculation. Traceable. Auditable. Defensible. Provable.
Simple rules are easy to build and easy to game. “Ping under 5ms = suspicious.” A child could write it. A child could avoid it. Our approach is fundamentally different: advanced algorithms that compute verdicts from rich data — multiplicative models, expectancy mathematics, anti-luck filters, significance guards, temporal decay analysis. The math converges on truth. The trader cannot see the math. They cannot reverse-engineer it. They can only be measured by it.
Not one model with one blind spot. Multiple independent engines — each using a fundamentally different mathematical approach — that converge on the same conclusion. When independent methods agree, the conclusion isn’t an opinion. It’s a proof.
Three trades don’t make a verdict. Statistical significance guards ensure that every classification is based on enough data to be meaningful. No premature judgments. No false positives from small samples. The system speaks only when the math is confident.
When a regulator asks “why did you move this account?” — you don’t say “the system flagged it.” You show the evidence streams, the time offsets, the behavioral dimensions, the mathematical convergence. Not a hunch. A proof.
Expectancy models with risk-adjusted denominators. Consistency factors that use coefficient of variation as an anti-luck filter. Multiplicative scoring that requires strength across multiple dimensions — not just one outlier metric. The depth is deliberate. Shallow analysis produces shallow verdicts.
“We think this trader is suspicious” is not a decision.
“Eight independent evidence streams confirmed exploitation at 88% confidence, with temporal decay measured across ten time offsets, corroborated by behavioral similarity at 97.3% across multiple dimensions, with a revenue impact of $4,200 per month on a single instrument” —
That is a decision.
Advanced algorithms. Statistical significance on every score. Multiple independent methodologies converging. Auditable evidence trails. In a regulated industry, provability isn’t a feature. It’s a requirement.
This is how PNL Factory works. Not by following rules — but by understanding the immutable laws that govern how traders behave, how profit moves, and how risk reveals itself to those who know where to look.